Research
Working Papers
*Note: if there is no link to a paper that means it is in revision; please contact me directly for a copy of the paper.
A Deportation Boomerang? Evidence from US Removals to Latin America and the Caribbean, with Christian Ambrosius (forthcoming, Demography).
Racial Disparities in US Climate Migration, with Gabriela Nagle Alverio and Logan
Stundal.
The (Ir)Relevance of Borders in an Era of Increased Human Mobility, with Logan Stundal, Sophia Marcus, and Jordi Amaral.
“The Political Economy of Crypto-Currency: Theory and Evidence,” with Ghita Chraibi.
Climate Change, Agricultural Shocks, and Migration,” with Sarah Bermeo and Gabriela Nagle Alverio.
Global Migration, Local Enforcement, and Electoral Outcomes, with Ben Helms.
“Aid and AIDs – PEPFAR, Globalization, and the Spread of Infectious Disease,” In preparation Logan Stundal and Sonal Pandya.
Published Work
Books
David Leblang and Benjamin Helms. The Ties that Bind: Immigration in the Global Political Economy. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 2023.
William Bernhard and David Leblang. Political Processes and Financial Markets: Pricing Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 2006
Articles (for a complete list, see my CV)
Forthcoming
“Trust in Institutions Affects Vaccination Campaign Outcomes,” Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene (with Michael D. Smith and Dennis Wesselbaum).
2024
“An Agent-Based Framework to Study Forced Migration: A Case Study of Ukraine,” (with *Zakaria Mehrab, *Logan Stundal, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Samarth Swarup, Bryan Lewis, Henning Mortveit, Christopher Barrett, Abhishek Pandey, Chad Wells, Alison Galvani, Burton Singer, Rita Cowell, and Madhav Marathe).PNAS Nexus, Volume 3, Issue 3, March
“Network Agency: An Agent-based Model of Forced Migration from Ukraine,” (with *Zakaria Mehrab, *Logan Stundal, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Samarth Swarup, Bryan Lewis, Henning Mortveit, Christopher Barrett, Abhishek Pandey, Chad Wells, Alison Galvani, Burton Singer, Rita Cowell, and Madhav Marathe). Conference Proceedings from the 23rd International Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems.
“A Generalizable Theory-Driven Agent-Based Framework to Study Conflict-Induced Forced Migration” (with *Zakaria Mehrab,*Logan Stundal, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Samarth Swarup, Bryan Lewis, Henning Mortveit, Christopher Barrett, Abhishek Pandey, Chad Wells, Alison Galvani, Burton Singer, Rita Cowell, and Madhav Marathe). Forthcoming in Conference Proceedings from the 38th Annual Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence (AAAI).
2023
“Land/Labor Ratios, Citizenship, and Migrants: Exploring the Hidden Links in the Political Economy of Immigration Regimes,” (with *Melle Scholten) World Politics.
“The Effect of Trust on Economic Performance and Financial Access,” Economic Letters (with Michael D Smith and Dennis Wesselbaum).
2022
“Labor Market Policy as Immigration Control: The Case of Temporary Protected Status,” International Studies Quarterly 66(3), September (with *Benjamin Helms).
"Immigration and Globalization (and Deglobalization), Annual Review of Political Science 25:377-99. (with Margaret Peters).
“Framing Unpopular Foreign Policies,” American Journal of Political Science 66(4):947-960 (with Jennifer Tobin and Christina Schneider).
2021
Why Physical Barriers Backfire: How Immigration enforcement Deters Return and Increases Asylum Applications,” Comparative Political Studies, 54(14):2611-52 (withJustin Schon)
“Migrants as Engines of Financial Globalization: The Case of Global Banking,” International Studies Quarterly, 65:343-59 (with Alexandra Zeitz).
2020
“Exporting Murder: US Deportations and the Spread of Violence,” International Studies Quarterly, 64:316-28 (with Christian Ambrosius).
2019
“Populists at the Polls: Economic, Political, and Social Factors in the 1896 Presidential Election,” Research in Economic History 35:91-131, (with Barry Eichengreen, Michael Haines, and Matt Jaremski)
“Controlling Immigration?” (with Marc Helbing), European Journal of Political Research, 58:248-69
2018
“Ethnocentrism Reduces Foreign Direct Investment,” (with *Sarah Andrews and Sonal Pandya), Journal of Politics.
2017
“Deal or No Deal: “Deal or No Deal: Institutions versus Social Networks in FDI,” Economics and Politics, 29:91-117 (with Sonal Pandya)
“Harnessing the Diaspora: The Political Economy of Migrant Dual Citizenship.” Comparative Political Studies, 50(1)75-101.
2016
“Sovereign Debt, Migration, and Government Survival,” (with William Bernhard), Comparative Political Studies, 49(7)907-38.
2015
“Babies Across Borders: The Political Economy of International Child Adoption,” International Studies Quarterly 59:615-29 (with Asif Efrat, *Steven Liao, and Sonal Pandya).
“Migration and Foreign Aid,” International Organization, 69:627-57 (with Sarah Blodgett Bermeo).
“Lingua Mercatoria: Language and Foreign Direct Investment,” International Studies Quarterly, 59:330-43 (with Moonhawk Kim, Amy Liu, *Kim-Lee Tuxhorn, and David Brown).
2014
“Defying the Law of Gravity: The Political Economy of International Migration,” World Politics, 66(3):406-445 (with Jennifer Fitzgerald and *Jessica Teets).
“Iceland on the Rocks: The Political Economy of a Referenda on Debt,” International Organization, 68(3):721-740 (with *Amber Curtis and Joseph Jupille).
“Doctors with Borders: Occupational Licensing as an Implicit Barrier to High Skilled Migration,” Public Choice 160:45-63 (with *Brenton Peterson and Sonal Pandya)
2010
“Familiarity Breeds Investment: Diaspora Networks and International Investment,” American Political Science Review 104:584-600.
“The Political Economy of Exchange Rate Regimes in Transition Economies,” (with Jeff Frieden and Neven Valev), Review of International Organization 5:1.
2009
“The Financial Crisis of 2007: Our Waterloo or Take a Chance on IPE,” International Interactions 35:4 (with Sonal Pandya)
2008
“Cabinet Collapses and Currency Crashes,” Political Research Quarterly, 61(3):517-531 (with William Bernhard).
“Democracy and Globalization,” Economics and Politics, 20(3):289-334 (with Barry Eichengreen).
“Politically Generated Uncertainty and Currency Crises: Theory, Tests and Forecasts,” Journal of International Money and Finance 27:480-97 (with Shanker Satyanath).
2007
“Voting for Change: Calculation, Community and Euro Referendums,” International Organization, 61(4):763-782 (with Joseph Jupille).
“Elections, Partisan Politics and Stock Market Performance: Theory and Evidence from a Century of American and British Returns,” Economics and Politics 19:135-67 (with Bumba Mukherjee).
2006 “Minority Governments and Exchange Rate Regimes: Examining Evidence from 21 OECD Countries, 1975-1999,” European Union Politics 7:450-76 (with Bumba
Mukherjee).
2006 “Polls and Pounds: Political Expectations and Exchange Rate Volatility in Britain,”
Quarterly Journal of Political Science 1:25-47 (with William Bernhard).
2006 “Parliamentary Politics and Foreign Exchange Markets: The World According to
GARCH.” International Studies Quarterly, (2006) 24:69-92 (with William Bernhard) 2006 “Institutions, Expectations and Currency Crises,” International Organization,
60:254-62 (with Shanker Satyanath).
2005 “Government Partisanship, Elections and the Stock Market: Examining American and British Stock Returns, 1930-2000.” American Journal of Political Science, 49:781-803 (with Bumba Mukherjee).
2004 “Presidential Elections and the Stock Market: Comparing Markov-Switching and
(FIE)GARCH Models of Stock Volatility, Political Analysis, 12:296-322 (with Bumba
Mukherjee)
2003 “To Defend or to Devalue: The Political Economy of Exchange Rate Policy,”
International Studies Quarterly, 47:533-559.
2003 “Exchange Rates and Cohesion: Historical Perspectives and Political Economy
Considerations,” Journal of Common Market Studies, 41:797-822. (with Barry
Eichengreen)
2003 “Explaining Wars Fought by Established Democracies: Do Institutional Constraints
Matter?” Political Research Quarterly, 56:385-400. (with Steve Chan).
2003 “Capital Account Liberalization and Growth: Was Mr. Mahathir Right?” International
Journal of Finance and Economics (2003) 8:205-24 (with Barry Eichengreen)
2002 “Political Parties and Monetary Commitments,” International Organization,
56:803-31 (with William Bernhard).
2002 “The Political Economy of Speculative Attacks in the Developing World,”
nternational Studies Quarterly, 46:69-91.
2002 “Democratic Processes and Political Risk: Evidence from Foreign Exchange Markets," American Journal of Political Science, 46:316-333 (with William Bernhard).
2000 “Speculative Attacks in Industrial Democracies: The Role of Politics,” International
Organization, 54:291-324 (with William Bernhard)
1999 “Democratic Political Institutions and Exchange Rate Commitments in the
Developing World,” International Studies Quarterly, 43: 599-620. Reprinted in Benjamin Cohen (ed) International Money Relations in the New Global Economy, Edward Elgar Publishing.
1999 “Democratic Institutions and Exchange Rate Commitments,” International Organization 53:71-97 (with William Bernhard). Reprinted in Benjamin
Cohen (ed) International Money Relations in the New Global Economy, Edward Elgar Publishing.
1999 “Security Rights, Subsistence Rights, and Liberties: A Theoretical Survey of the Empirical Landscape,” Human Right Quarterly, 21:403-43 (with *Wesley Milner and Steve Poe).
1997 “Domestic and Systemic Determinants of Capital Controls,” International Studies Quarterly, 41:435-54. Reprinted in Benjamin Cohen (ed) International
Money Relations in the New Global Economy, Edward Elgar Publishing.
1997 “Political Democracy and Economic Growth: Pooled Cross-Sectional and Time- Series Evidence,” British Journal of Political Science, 27:453-66.
1996 “The Effect of Cultural Attitudes on Economic Development: Theory, Hypotheses and Some Empirical Tests,” American Journal of Political Science, 40:607-31 (with
James Granato and Ronald Inglehart).
1996 Cultural Values, Stable Democracy and Economic Development: A Reply,” American Journal of Political Science, 40:680-96 (with James Granato and Ronald
Inglehart).
1996 “Property Rights, Democracy, and Economic Growth,” Political Research Quarterly,
49:5-26.